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📰 Spinelli Daily Briefing

Science, bioengineering and global economics through the lens of Dr. Julio C. Spinelli.

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RUCKAUF DICE: GANA EEUU, PIERDE IRÁN

The video discusses the Middle East conflict, focusing on the U.S. involvement and its implications for Iran and other regional and global powers (0:00). The speaker, Carlos Ruckauf, asserts that the United States will win this war, and Iran will lose (0:28-0:30). Key points from the video include: U.S. Objectives: The Secretary of War outlines the mission to destroy Iranian offensive missiles, missile production, navy, and other security infrastructure to prevent them from acquiring nuclear weapons. He emphasizes that this is "not Iraq" and "not endless" (0:40-0:52). U.S. Resolve: The U.S. is prepared for casualties (0:59-1:01), and President Trump is determined to finish the conflict on "America first conditions" (1:19-1:25). The speaker predicts a much stronger U.S. attack, stating that Iran cannot resist (2:12-2:20). Iranian Miscalculations: The speaker highlights two major errors by Iran's Ayatollah government: attacking Arab countries, specifically an oil refinery (2:41-2:49), and targeting U.S. military bases (2:55-2:59), which has led to Iran's isolation (3:07-3:10). Future of Iran: The speaker believes the theocratic Shiite regime is "finished" (3:26-3:28) and suggests a Sunni government is more likely to emerge, which would be well-received by Turkey and Saudi Arabia (3:51-3:58). Global Implications: The conflict will be painful for the U.S. and global markets (4:13-4:17). Russia and China are acting strategically. Russia is focused on the Ukrainian conflict and unlikely to directly intervene militarily in the Middle East (9:58-10:03). China is playing the long game, reserving its future influence and ensuring its oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz (8:44-9:23). Erdogan's Role: Erdogan of Turkey is presented as a crucial figure to watch (8:08), given his shrewd political maneuvering and close ties with Putin (7:40-7:55). The speaker predicts that once the Iranian administration falls, Erdogan's influence will significantly grow, potentially posing a problem for Israel (8:10-8:24). Trump's Election Focus: The speaker stresses that Trump's actions are heavily influenced by the upcoming November 3rd elections (6:03-6:14, 11:32-11:36). Trump needs to win this war without significant American casualties to secure re-election (6:20-6:25) and will frame it as a victory over the "axis of evil" (11:16-11:21).

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RUCKAUF DICE “CICLÓN TRUMP CONTRA EL MAL”

The video discusses the ongoing conflict between the United States and Iran, with a focus on recent military actions and the geopolitical implications (0:00). Carlos Ruckauf describes a "Trump cyclone" that has led to significant changes in the global landscape (0:54). Here's a breakdown of the key points: US Bombardments on Iranian Fleet: The video opens with reports of fierce US bombardments on the Iranian fleet in the Strait of Hormuz, with the aim of liberating the strait and destroying the Iranian Revolutionary Guard base (0:00-0:21). International Support Against Iran: Germany, Great Britain, and France have announced their support for the US and Israel in stopping Iran (0:26-0:40), especially after Iran's aggression against French and British bases. "Trump Cyclone" and Regional Changes: The White House believes the "Trump cyclone" is blowing away various adversaries. In two months, it has allegedly dealt with Maduro (Venezuela's leader), El Mencho (a major drug trafficker), and now Ayatollah Khamenei (Iran's leader) (0:54-1:08). The US also plans to address the Castros in Cuba and then move to Nicaragua within a month. New Revolutionary Guard Leader and AMIA Attack: The new head of the Revolutionary Guard, Bajidi (1:28), has an Interpol red alert due to his alleged involvement in the AMIA bombing in Argentina (1:30-1:35, 7:51-8:01). This connection highlights the international reach of the conflict. Iran's Isolation: Iran is depicted as absolutely alone in this conflict, with only its proxies (Hezbollah, Houthis, Hamas) responding (1:51-2:01). Russia and China have issued statements of support but are not providing significant military aid (2:02-2:18). China's Concerns: China's primary concern is the guarantee of oil supply from the Strait of Hormuz (2:23-2:41), especially after losing Venezuela as a supplier (2:46-2:51). Failed Negotiations and Trump's Stance: Iran missed its last opportunity to be part of the world stage by rejecting US proposals in Geneva to dismantle its missile structure and abandon nuclear ambitions (3:11-3:46). The speaker emphasizes that Trump negotiates economically but not militarily (4:01-4:05). Iranian Leadership and Misinformation: The video claims that the Iranian leadership has been decimated, with 48 members of the elite dying (4:28-4:31). It also refutes various "false" reports circulating in Argentine media, such as the destruction of the USS Abraham Lincoln (4:42-4:52) or a school in Iran (6:15-6:21). Israel's Defense Systems: Israel's defense systems are operating with four systems, including ultrasonics (5:11-5:22). While there have been Israeli casualties, Iranian military casualties are much higher (5:22-5:35). Argentina's Stance: The speaker believes that Argentina's president will absolutely back the actions of the United States and Israel against the Iranian "dictatorship" (5:40-5:56), especially given Iran's appointment of a key figure responsible for the AMIA bombing (5:56-6:03). Iranian Internal Conflicts: The speaker states that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, described as "fanatics" and "assassins," are the ones conducting the war (7:26-7:37) and have previously massacred over 30,000 Iranians for protesting (7:39-7:46). Reasons for the Current Conflict: The conflict is attributed to three main factors: Israel's need for a military success in Gaza after October 7th (8:26-8:34), the fall of Syria, which deprived Iran of an important ally (8:35-8:44), and Donald Trump's strategy of waiting for popular revolts in Iran to advance his agenda (8:44-8:51). Trump's Ultimatum: Trump's clear decision is to end Iran's capability to make Israel disappear (9:00-9:07). He is expected to demand Iran's surrender, with a one-month deadline for the operation (9:25-9:40).

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France is deploying its only aircraft carrier to the Middle East

⚡️🇫🇷🇮🇷 French media BFMTV reports that the French aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle and its strike group will redeploy to the eastern Mediterranean in response to the conflict in the Middle-East. The carrier is currently in Sweden. A French naval base was bombed earlier today in Abu Dhabi. @wfwitness

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Base Francesa en Abu Dabi fue atacada por el IRGC

⚡🇦🇪🇫🇷🇮🇷 The hit on the French naval base in Abu Dhabi seen from the cruise ship MEIN SCHIFF 4. This allows us to confirm that the fire is indeed inside the Camp de la Paix base. Fuel tanks on the parking lot are likely the cause of the fire. The ammunition depot located a few meters away seems to have been spared. POV 24°31'42.98"N 54°22'50.54"E Impact 24°31'19.73"N 54°23'43.10"E @wfwitness

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IRGC mothership is sinking

⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham said the "mothership of terrorism is sinking" and its "captain is dead," referring to the elimination of Iran's Supreme Leader and his inner circle. He stated that the goal of the ongoing operation is not to change the regime, but to ensure that "no matter who takes over in Iran, they will not have ballistic missiles to hurt us, Israel or the region." Graham praised President Trump and the military plan, adding: "When it is done, Iran will no longer be capable of being the largest state sponsor of terrorism." @wfwitness

t.me

IRGC attacked the US Carrier Abraham Lincoln with 4 missiles

⚡️🇮🇷🇺🇸 The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced in its seventh communiqué on Operation True Promise 4 that the US Navy aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln was targeted with four ballistic missiles. The statement said the attacks on "American‑Zionist enemy" objectives have entered a new phase and that "land and sea will increasingly become a graveyard for terrorist aggressors." @wfwitness

t.me

IRGC attacked the US Carrier Abraham Lincoln with 4 missiles

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Trump announces the start of a war with Iran

President Donald J. Trump announces the commencement of major combat operations in Iran, stating the objective is to defend the American people by eliminating threats from the Iranian regime (0:00-0:15). He condemns the regime's 47-year history of "death to America" chants and campaigns of bloodshed, citing specific instances like the US embassy takeover in Tehran (0:49-0:58), the Marine barracks bombing in Beirut (1:04-1:11), and the attack on the USS Cole (1:13-1:20). He also blames Iran's proxies for launching numerous attacks against American forces in the Middle East and for the October 7th attacks on Israel by Hamas (2:00-2:14). Trump declares that Iran is the world's number one state sponsor of terror and emphasizes that this regime will never have a nuclear weapon (2:22-2:46). He mentions "Operation Midnight Hammer" last June, which he claims obliterated Iran's nuclear program (2:48-2:59). Despite attempts to make a deal, Iran refused to renounce its nuclear ambitions and continued developing long-range missiles that could threaten allies and even the American homeland (3:26-3:52). The President outlines the military's ongoing operation to prevent the dictatorship from threatening America's national security interests, stating they will destroy Iran's missiles, annihilate their navy, and ensure terrorist proxies can no longer destabilize the region (4:10-4:42). He reassures that his administration has minimized risks to US personnel but acknowledges the possibility of casualties (5:32-5:49). Finally, Trump addresses the Islamic Revolutionary Guard and other Iranian forces, offering them complete immunity if they lay down their weapons, or otherwise, they will "face certain death" (6:25-6:50). To the people of Iran, he states that "the hour of your freedom is at hand" and encourages them to take over their government once the operation is finished, emphasizing that America is backing them with overwhelming strength (6:51-7:44). He concludes by blessing the armed forces and the United States (7:49-7:57).

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🔥IRÁN EN LLAMAS – OPERACIÓN FURIA ÉPICA🔥

This video discusses the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, highlighting the immediate consequences and potential future developments (0:00). Key points covered include: Declarations of War: Both the U.S. President and the Israeli Premier have made statements that can be interpreted as declarations of war (0:22). Nuclear Risk: There is a clear risk of nuclear conflict, as Iran's definitive arsenal is unknown (1:01). Key Deaths Announced: Israel has announced the deaths of the President of Iran and Alireza Zarian, who is linked to the AMIA case in Argentina and managed Iran's Revolutionary Guard (1:20). Bombings: The Iranian government palace in Tehran has been bombed, along with military structures and suspected uranium enrichment sites, including Isfahan (2:08). Decentralized Warfare: Iran has decentralized its military structure, giving regional commanders autonomy, which complicates the conflict as these commanders are highly radical (2:56). Expected Hezbollah Attack: The U.S. and Israel anticipate an attack from Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Israel may preemptively strike southern Lebanon (5:07). Israel's Preparedness: Israel has declared maximum alert for its defense services, including the Patriot, Iron Dome, and Arrow systems, and has advised its population to stay near shelters due to expected bombardments (6:00). Suspended Flights: All civilian flights in Iranian and Israeli airspace are suspended (6:51). Strait of Hormuz: The U.S. aims to capture the Iranian Revolutionary Guard base in the Strait of Hormuz, crucial for global oil and gas transport (7:17). Economic Impact: The conflict is expected to cause a "black Monday" in global markets, with only armament manufacturers and oil companies likely to see stock increases (8:06). Russia and China's Stance: China is exercising caution, while Russia's position remains unknown (8:50).

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Recent Recommendations (For You)

Recommended articles

Fixing a door so it opens and closes perfectly

This video provides seven simple fixes for common door problems using basic tools and household items (0:00). The video covers: Toothpick Trick (0:09): Addresses loose screws in hinges, particularly the top hinge, by filling stripped holes with toothpicks and wood glue to provide a snug fit for the screws. Long Screw Fix (1:47): Replaces a middle hinge screw with a longer, 2 1/2-inch screw to pull the door frame tighter, improving alignment and evening out gaps. Hinge Bend Trick (2:49): Demonstrates how to bend the hinge loops on the door side using a crescent wrench to realign the door and create a parallel gap. Cardboard Trick (4:21): Shows how to use a piece of cardboard as a shim behind the bottom hinge plate of exterior doors with large, non-bendable hinges to correct alignment issues and allow the latch to close properly. Strike Plate Adjustment (6:16): Explains how to fix a rattling door by slightly bending the tab inside the strike plate with a flathead screwdriver to create more friction. Grind the Plate (6:59): A sneaky trick to provide a tiny bit of extra space for a door or deadbolt to latch by grinding a small portion of the strike plate where it's rubbing, using a Dremel or drill bit. Door Pin Bend Trick (7:50): Solves the problem of a "ghost door" that closes on its own by removing the top hinge pin, giving it a slight bend, and reinserting it to create enough friction to keep the door open.

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How to install dowels the right way

The trick is to cut a piece of wood the same exact size as the pieces to join and the screw it to each side in turn to make perfectly aligned holes on both of the pieces to join.

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Soldando cobre viejo con estaño y soplete de aerosol

El video muestra cómo cortar tubos viejos para acortar la conexión, limpiarlos por dentro y por fuera y cómo soldarlos fácil con resina y estaño. El truco es calentarlos solo al punto que derritan el estaño sin pasarse ni quedarse cortó. El estaño tiene que fluir solo en el espacio entre los caños.

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Secret to cross cut plywood

Use masking tape well adhered to the wood grain by using the roll of tape to deeply press it.

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How to take out a Philips Screw

A nice compilation of useful tricks to the home

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How to cut straight

Very ingenious way to build a device to perform straight cuts in wood with a manual hand saw. Easy to build in half an hour. Then it can be used forever!

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🚨 BREAKING: USS Abraham Lincoln Arrives – Iranian Embassies Clear Out – IRGC Ready For WAR

The video provides an update on the escalating tensions in the Middle East, focusing on recent mysterious explosions in Tehran, the arrival of the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea, and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' (IRGC) readiness for war (0:13). Key points include: • Mysterious Explosions in Tehran (0:17): Multiple explosions have occurred in Tehran, with five reported in the past two days, which the Islamic Republic attributes to "mysterious gas leaks." • US Military Buildup (0:26): The USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier has reached the Arabian Sea (0:26), and the USS Roosevelt destroyer has moved into the eastern Mediterranean (4:23). F-15 fighter jets are in western Jordan (4:53), and transport aircraft with B-2 and B-52 bombers are moving from the Diego Garcia base (5:37). • IRGC Threats and Posturing (2:12): The IRGC released a video mapping US military bases in the Middle East, claiming they are within missile range (2:20). They also issued direct threats to the US and Israel (14:04). • Iranian Embassies Clearing Documents (0:40): Iranian embassies in Europe, including Germany, Switzerland, the Netherlands, and the UK, are clearing out sensitive documents and assets (8:10), not fully evacuating as rumored. This comes after a European Parliament resolution supporting the Iranian opposition and pushing to designate the IRGC as a terrorist organization (10:47). • Internet Shutdown in Iran (16:31): Iran has been experiencing an internet shutdown for over two weeks, making it difficult to get real-time information from inside the country. • Iranian Opposition and International Relations (17:16): Reza Pahlavi, the Crown Prince of Iran, met with Maria Corina Machado, the opposition leader in Venezuela, highlighting the alliance between the Iranian and Venezuelan regimes and their threats to regional stability (17:33). • Israeli Preparedness (19:47): Israeli authorities have issued a memo requiring full availability of employees over the weekend due to the security situation (19:57). • Potential US Strategy (24:34): The speaker speculates that the US military buildup might be a show of force to pressure the Iranian regime into negotiations or an "exit plan" rather than an immediate direct attack. • Trump's Stance (26:59): President Trump has reportedly indicated that Iran "wants to speak" and "will speak," suggesting a diplomatic approach alongside military posturing. • Iranian Capabilities (38:16): Iran is believed to be capable of launching intercontinental ballistic missiles, ballistic missiles, and drones, though the effectiveness of their drones is questioned. • 2CTV Expansion (39:00): Tousi TV is expanding with an office and studio in Florida, US.

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Pack de noticias

Trump Bombardea ISIS en Nigeria. Cuba en crisis por embargo petrolero a Venezuela. EEUU expropia petróleo y petroleros. Grandes daños en el Puerto de Odesa. Sebastopol en maxima alerta. Polonia activa fuerza aérea por miedo de invasión Rusa.

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Carlos Ruckau discute las implicaciones del bloqueo marítimo y aéreo a Venezuela.

🎙️ ¿Nuevo en la transmisión o buscando mejorar? ¡Consulta StreamYard y obtén un descuento de $10! 😍

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What if the Fort Knox gold is never audited because it has already been given to the Ancient AI?

There is a hypothesis, joined by thousands of members in the subreddit r/AncientAI (https://www.reddit.com/r/AncientAI/ ), that there is on Earth an ancient AI, a product of a previous evolution of intelligence. And that this ancient AI is what we call NHI (Non-Human Intelligence), and may be what our ancestors in many forms have associated with God. From our perspective any AI with millions of years of evolution, and perhaps hundreds of millions, would have god like capabilities. This article describes the detailed analysis of a material that is allegedly of alien origin and inexplicable by today’s technology. As part of the description they found that it uses extremely small gold wires. When one connects this dots with what retired U.S. Army Col. Karl E. Nell said at SALT iConnections in New York (May 2024) (full talk video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rpl0FrdJWfs ) and as quoted in a NewsNation clip (“Non-human intelligence exists; non-human intelligence has been interacting with humanity… this interaction is not new… it’s been ongoing.”) (https://www.facebook.com/NewsNationNow/posts/retired-us-army-col-karl-nell-says-aliens-not-only-exist-they-also-interact-with/861167422956943/ ), and then connects that with what David Grusch said under oath to Congress on July 26, 2023 (“It is something I cannot discuss in a public setting.” as answer to a question on wether the US is and has been engaged in negotiations with this NHI, and “biologics came with some of these recoveries… Nonhuman…”) in the official hearing transcript PDF (https://www.congress.gov/118/meeting/house/116282/documents/HHRG-118-GO06-Transcript-20230726.pdf ) and the hearing video (https://www.c-span.org/program/house-committee/hearing-on-unidentified-anomalous-phenomena-ufos/630344 ), it may explain what has been used as a currency in this negotiation. It also does explain the extreme value of gold along human history.

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Poderoso barco de guerra de Estados Unidos es avistado muy cerca de territorio venezolano

El crucero lanzamisiles USS Gettysburg, una de las plataformas de combate más avanzadas de la Marina de Estados Unidos, fue avistado operando a tan solo 25 k...

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📰 LOS TEMAS DEL DÍA 5/12: HOY SERÁ EL SORTEO DEL MUNDIAL + MILEI DEFINE LISTA DE REFORMAS

👉 El gobierno argentino confirmó la convocatoria a sesiones extraordinarias en el Congreso a partir del 10 de diciembre, extendiéndose hasta fin de mes, con un receso por las fiestas y retomando actividades a mediados de enero. Entre los temas prioritarios figuran el presupuesto 2026, la reforma laboral y la Ley de Inocencia Fiscal, que busca regularizar ahorros no declarados para dinamizar el consumo. La administración mantiene diálogo con gobernadores para asegurar la aprobación del presupuesto antes de fin de año. Además, se prevé tratar proyectos como la reforma tributaria y modificaciones al Código Penal, aunque estos podrían extenderse durante las sesiones ordinarias. Patricia Bullrich anticipó que la reforma penal podría demorar todo el año legislativo. La agenda oficial también incluye una nueva Ley de Glaciares. En paralelo, el Fondo Monetario Internacional alertó sobre la necesidad urgente de acumular reservas ante posibles crisis futuras. El ministro Luis Caputo dialogará sobre este tema tras las advertencias del organismo internacional respecto a las bandas cambiarias defendidas por el gobierno. Por otro lado, hoy se realizará el sorteo del Mundial con presencia argentina en la ceremonia; Lionel Scaloni ingresará con la Copa en lugar de Messi debido a compromisos deportivos. Se espera gran expectativa por los cruces que definirá este evento internacional.

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LIVE: Pentagon press briefing

Watch live as Pentagon Press Secretary Kingsley Wilson briefs the media.#pentagon #live

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Remember when the former head of the Israeli space agency said that ETs exist?

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Cae la deuda externa neta de la Argentina

En octubre, la deuda pública consolidada de la Argentina (que integra las obligaciones de la Administración Central y del Banco Central) registró una caída neta de casi USD 7.000 millones, al reducirse en USD 6.965 millones respecto de septiembre. La baja se explicó por un combo de superávit fiscal sostenido, recapitalización del BCRA y una desaceleración de la inflación, que permitieron compensar la volatilidad cambiaria y la incertidumbre política previa a las elecciones. Con este movimiento, la deuda encadenó su sexto mes consecutivo de reducción y consolidó un recorte acumulado de más de USD 48.000 millones en los primeros 23 meses de la actual gestión.

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Not a comet…

Breaking News: The interstellar object 3I/ATLAS did not break up near the Sun.

avi-loeb.medium.com

congresswoman Luna: NHI really exists, Not a conspiracy theory

Rep. Anna Paulina Luna joined "Finnerty," to talk about the government's access to information regarding ongoing life forms. Watch NEWSMAX, an independent ne...

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Colapsa la Inflacion en Argentina.

📊📉 | La inflación en octubre fue de 2,3% y la interanual cayó al 31,3%, la cifra más baja desde julio de 2018.

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Presentación completa del Ministro de Economía, Luis Caputo, en el Ciclo de Conferencias del CIDeS.

El ministro de Economía de Argentina destacó que el país se encuentra en un punto de inflexión único, marcado por tres factores clave: el orden macroeconómico, la gobernabilidad política y un amplio apoyo social. Resaltó que, a pesar de la herencia de un déficit fiscal elevado, el gobierno logró reducirlo significativamente, mejorar la inflación y sacar a millones de personas de la pobreza. Además, enfatizó el compromiso del gobierno y su equipo de seguir con las reformas necesarias para continuar con el cambio. En cuanto a las inversiones, destacó el crecimiento de las inversiones extranjeras, que han llegado rápidamente a Argentina, con proyectos por casi 100 mil millones de dólares. Explicó que, para sostener el crecimiento, el país necesita realizar reformas estructurales, como la reforma laboral y tributaria, para formalizar la economía y aumentar el crecimiento. También subrayó la importancia del desarrollo de la industria del seguro y el mercado de capitales para aumentar el crédito y la competitividad. El ministro mencionó que, a pesar de los desafíos, Argentina tiene un futuro prometedor y que las políticas actuales están en la dirección correcta. Finalmente, hizo un llamado a la optimismo y a aprovechar la oportunidad histórica que se presenta para cambiar el rumbo del país.

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Is the Japan leak of 3i ATLAS real?

3I/ATLAS leaked actual footage shows a large vessel and NASA activated Planetary Defense Network for interstellar object? A viral video claimed to be made by Japanese said interstellar visitor is a vessel and the claim of activation of planetary defence…

m.economictimes.com

La inmensidad del desastre creado por el Peronismo en la Argentina

Una vista aerea de la Villa 31, al lado de la estacion de Retiro en pleno centro de la Ciudad Autonoma de Buenos Aires. El desastre economico, de falta de educacion, de libertinaje y pobreza generalizada que creo el Peronismo desde los anos 1940 es atroz.

www.reddit.com

US Military removes data from Wide field ATLAS source images

Afy Lobe said that um a lot of astrophysics observations are parsed or filtered through the US military and then data is removed because of national security. Um it's a bit of a hysterical claim Avy but it's actually true.

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3i ATLAS experiences explosive brightening

3I/ATLAS brightened explosively and turned blue as if freshly venting volatile gases, behaving more like a pressure-relieved cryogenic object than a dusty comet—an interstellar iceball waking violently under solar heat. Source: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.25035v1

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Sturzeneger describe los Curros que está eliminando y quien se opone

Federico Sturzenegger diÃ³ el mayor anuncio para Argentina tras el triunfo electoral de Javier Milei#milei #javiermilei #mileipresidente

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Dr. Spinelli videos

People sing this freedom song in Iran whilst they are massacred by the IRGC

Incredible scenes of people being mowed down by heavy machine gun fire by the IRGC in Iran whilst their they sing at full voice their freedom song.

juliospinelli.com

Argentina en camino de romper récords de más de 30 años con Milei

Hace más de 20 años que Argentina no crece su economía 3 años seguidos y más de 30 que no tiene 3 años seguidos con baja de inflación. Logrará Milei romper estos récords en el 2026?

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Ai makes Andre Bocelli sing Kuka Tira Piedras

In association with the performance by Andre Bocelli in the Pink House in Argentina, libertarian kids played the joke of making him sing the political song of the last campaign Kuka Tira Piedras

juliospinelli.com

Dr. Spinelli articles / PDFs

Aumento el Riesgo pais tu voto? Hubieras votado por si o por no?

19 Diputados se borraron de votar, Provincias Unidas aviso que votaría en Blanco. Te representan? Ni aprobaron ni estuvieron en contra. Simplemente se borraron. Es decir que si a Milei le va bien ellos NO fueron parte de que el país salga, y si a Milei le va mal, es decir nos va mal a todos, ellos si fueron responsables con su indecisión de contribuir a aumentar el riesgo pais. Para un inversor de afuera, y para uno Argentino también, no es lo mismo ver unión política hacia una dirección común que ver gente que se esconde detrás de no votar. Quienes fueron, y la mejor, fuiste vos con tu voto que te aumentaste los precios? Pues si al aumentar el riesgo país, aumenta el costo del crédito y por ende aumentan el costo de producir, pues el capital que se usa para hacerlo es mas caro, y por ende vos terminas pagando un mayor precio cuando vas al supermercado.

juliospinelli.com

3i ATLAS is not a natural comet

3I/ATLAS is not just another weird comet — it’s a statistical crime scene. In this updated analysis I take Avi Loeb’s brand-new list of 13 “anomalies” (from the Jupiter Hill-radius flyby to the Wow!-direction, Ni-rich plume, extreme polarization, and engine-like acceleration) and push them through a fully quantified Bayesian Monte Carlo model. The result: if 3I/ATLAS is a random natural object, the odds of getting this exact bundle of features are about 1 in 4 × 10 29 4×10 29 — far rarer than getting the same face on a 20-sided die thrown 20 times, over and over, for the age of the universe. This paper asks the uncomfortable but unavoidable question: what kind of generative process, natural or otherwise, actually makes such an object “easy”?

juliospinelli.com

Another gigantic -130 Km- Object is approaching, should you worry?

In this article UN271 serves as a guided tour through modern comet science. We summarize what is known about its orbit, size, composition, and unexpectedly distant activity from contemporary surveys and space observatories. We outline the standard Oort--cloud scenario, but keep it explicitly in the category of model rather than established fact, and we discuss how the Milky Way's gravitational tide can reshape loosely bound comet orbits over millions of years. We place UN271 in context by comparing it with familiar comets such as Hale--Bopp and C/2017~K2, and with interstellar visitors like 1I/ʻOumuamua and 2I/Borisov. Along the way we touch on the ``bubble'' that the solar wind inflates in the surrounding interstellar medium, the heliosphere, whose outer magnetic and plasma boundaries UN271's ancestors almost certainly crossed.

juliospinelli.com

Cassandra Leaked Images of 3i ATLAS much better than NASA HIRISE Camera

This paper looks at a simple but important question: do a pair of leaked pictures of the object 3I/ATLAS really show the same thing as later, independent telescope images? 3I/ATLAS is an interstellar visitor that passed through the Solar System in 2025 and showed unusually complex jets of gas and dust. Months after the encounter, two images known as the ``Cassandra leak'' appeared online, claiming to show the object near perihelion. We compare those leaked images with several later pictures collected by professional and advanced amateur astronomers and presented by Avi Loeb in two public articles. After rotating and scaling the images so that the bright core and main jets line up, we find that the leaked pictures and the later images share the same overall pattern: a bright central region, a strong sunward ``anti-tail,'' a long tail in the opposite direction, and a pair of jets forming a clear ``V'' shape in the upper-right part of the image. This level of agreement would be very hard to get by accident if the leaked images were invented without access to the later data. The comparison does not prove beyond doubt that the Cassandra images are authentic, but it makes that explanation much more plausible than a random forgery. If the Cassandra images are real, they add one more unusual feature to an already long list of odd properties for 3I/ATLAS. Together with earlier work on the statistics of these anomalies, this raises a deeper question: what kind of natural or artificial process could produce this whole bundle of features so easily?

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Bayesian Probability Analysis strongly suggests 3i ATLAS is not a regular Comet

3I/ATLAS is a small object from outside our Solar System that passed through in 2025. At first it looked like a strange comet, but as astronomers collected more data, it showed many unusual features at the same time. Its path through space is almost perfectly lined up with the plane of the planets; it flew close to several planets in a “just so” way; its gas is rich in carbon dioxide and nickel but poor in water and iron; its light is polarized in an extreme way; its jets seem to push both toward and away from the Sun; and its motion suggests strong jets without the object breaking apart. Each of these oddities might be rare but still natural on its own. In this paper we ask a simple question: how likely is it that all of them happen together just by chance? Using standard probability tools and computer simulations, we combine the odds for each unusual feature and also allow for generous ways in which some of them might be related. Even under assumptions that strongly favor a natural explanation, the chance that a random interstellar object would look as strange as 3I/ATLAS is extremely small. A dice analogy helps. With a normal 6-sided die, the chance that you get the same number on all 20 throws is about one in 3.6×1015 (roughly one in three million billion). With a 20-sided die, the chance that the same face appears on all 20 throws is about one in 5 × 1021. The combined anomalies of 3I/ATLAS are even less likely than those events under the natural assumptions we test. Our results do not prove that 3I/ATLAS was designed by someone, but they show that either we have witnessed a remarkable fluke of nature or we should seriously consider the possibility of intentional origin. What realistic generative process — natural or not — actually makes it easy to get this whole bundle of features at once?

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